Asteroid Expected To Hit Earth 2025. The danger remains low, but experts are estimating the damage that could be done. The asteroid, discovered just after christmas and named 2024 yr4, could strike the planet in december 2032 as it approaches during another journey around its orbit, according to nasa's center for near earth object studies.

Nasa increased the chances of asteroid 2024 yr4 hitting earth to 1 in 32, or 3.1%, on tuesday, but they’re now back down to 1 in 67, or 1.5%. Two weeks ago, when ars first wrote about the asteroid, designated 2024 yr4, nasa’s center for near earth object studies estimated a 1.9 percent chance of an impact.